The Impact of SARS-CoV-2 on Economic Activity of Mexico in 2020
- José Antonio Núñez Mora(corresponding author),
- Instituto Tecnologico de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey,
- ,
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Impact and Development in Latin AmericaIdioma original
InglésPáginas desde-hasta (Número de páginas)
Páginas 1-15 (15 páginas)Hitos de publicación
- Publicada - 2021
Estado de publicación
Publicada - 2021
Editorial
Springer NatureISBN (impreso)
9789811626128ISBN (electrónico)
9789811626135Publication IDs
- Scopus: 85163516785
Título de publicación principal
The Future of Companies in the Face of a New RealityAbstract
In this document, the economic effect of Covid-19 on the economic activity of Mexico in 2020 is quantified, separating the impact of the trend that has been observed in recent years. The procedure used is an ARIMA model with an intervention that incorporates the NIG probability distribution, where it is found that the explained variance of the seasonally adjusted time series of the IGAE due to Covid-19 is 44.20% and due to the administration on duty 18.89%. These two estimates quantify that Covid-19 came to aggravate the recessionary economic situation that existed since 2019.
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0.64